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a2z1to3

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About a2z1to3

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  • Birthday 01/01/1970

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  • Favorite poker hand
    ASAH
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    Las Vegas, NV
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    poker, world travel, reading, motorcycle, skiing, hiking, camping.
  1. I think we need to write Stars and ask for lower rake on the higher buy-in hypers. Currently, the rake is the same whether it is a $22 or $420 hyper, which makes no sense at all. Every other poker game (SNGs, MTTs, Cash/Ring), at every single site has a concept of graduated rake... the higher you go, the less the rake percentage. It encourages people to move up with skill, encourages higher volume, and still allows the poker site to make a good profit since the stakes are higher. Why Stars introduced the same standard rake percentage on the 212s is beyond me. Please help me write them and ask for a graudated rake system on them just like every other single game.
  2. I like the idea of integration with their MTT satellites. A $2100 sunday MTT Sat to PCA that accepts Step 6 tickets is a good idea. I think I saw one tonight (Mon.), but it was cancelled after barely missing the min players needed. I do wonder if a 700 sat and 2100 sat on the same day would compete too much for players though. One step further... why not itegrate it with hyper-turbos also?! There is really no reason Steps regs, MTT regs and hyperSNG regs shouldn't be able to pick and choose their path as they progress. Let me play a 215 hyper to win a 700 Step5 to win a 2100 MTT sat seat to head to PCA. The cross-traffic could only boost participation accross the board, and would also be good for regs who would see some cross-traffic into their area of specialization. Your cash exit option sounds good also... I think it would attract players, but I wonder the same thing stevie does about whether it would dilute the player pool for the regular step 6, so that they dont fill often.
  3. I'm looking at tourney stats in PT. I'm wondering how they define "Attempted to Steal Blinds %". Hovering over to get the explaination doesnt say much. In particular, I'm wondering what are the exact positions or situations included in this stat? If I'm 6-handed and open shove from the cutoff is that included? How about from one before the cutoff? Does it matter what the blind levels are? etc. If anyone could point me to the definition or formula, I'd appreciate it. Thanks.
  4. ...and on and on it contiues. nearly 8,000 hyper turbos now... this is not varience. My latest hyper: I put my money in 4 times... my hands: AA, AA, QQ, A9 (vs dominated A6). I lose. Every single hyper I've gotten in vs a dominated Ace and lost. Here are tonights run: 218555080 3-Dec-09 23:21 NL Holdem (Sat) 5400 FPP 4/6 -5400 FPP. I got in with these 4 hands and STILL lost: AA, AA, A9 (vs dominated A6, who hit) and QQ (oppenents dead to 2 outs, both hit). 218567232 3-Dec-09 23:11 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72. ME: 66 vs AQ. He hits a runner-runner straight. (I lose flip) 218565549 3-Dec-09 23:04 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72. I shove from cutoff with A8. Button wakes up with monster (AK). 218565382 3-Dec-09 22:57 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72. ME: KQs. (Shortstacked and in blind) vs 44. I lose race. 218565364 3-Dec-09 22:56 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72. ME: A9 vs A5. He hits his 3 outer and I lose to a dominated hand. 218565355 3-Dec-09 22:54 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72. Me: 33 vs KTo. He hits 2 pair. I lose flip. Prior: Me: AQ vs 33. I lose flip. So I lost every one. Every flip. Not a long session, but it just picks up where we left off.
  5. A month later, nothing has changed. After playing a MTT and getting in with an Ace six times, having my oppenent dominated all 6 times, and losing all 6 times, 4 of which were to runner runner double gutshot straights, I had a bad feeling. Moving over to the SNGs, here are the results... again, pay attention to my remarks of how the knockout / crippling hand occurred. I lost won just 5 of 44 played today, losing almost entirely to bad beats. There was a stretch of about 15 times in a row where I got in with an A vs. a dominated A, and the dominated A hit the 3 outer or miracle runner runner draws. 217626582 30-Nov-09 21:55 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72. My KT vs 9To. His dominated hand hits 3 outer. 217626566 30-Nov-09 21:51 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72. My A9s vs A7o. His dominated hand hits two 7s for trips. 217626538 30-Nov-09 21:44 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72. A7 vs A8. I flop my kicker, but he makes trips, hitting his kicker twice. 217626519 30-Nov-09 21:44 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72. IM in BB, high blinds. Button shoves, I call with Ax. He has monster (KK). 217624358 30-Nov-09 21:39 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72. I have 88 in BB. Cutoff shoves, I call. He has monster (KK). 217625939 30-Nov-09 21:38 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72. Im in cutoff with A6 and shove. Get called poorly by KJ at low (Level 1) blinds. J comes on river. I get in good and lose to his bad call. 217623751 30-Nov-09 21:28 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72. I shove on button with 99. Get called by monster (AA). 217624273 30-Nov-09 21:27 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72. Me: A7 vs. A6o. I'm in good. I flop a 7. He is dominated and not suited and dead to runner runner, but hits his runner runner flush. Prior to this, the guy survives 6 all-ins from a microstack vs 2 of us checking him down, in behind on most. Me: A9o vs. J5o. He makes a full boat. Hand before that, i flopped a pair, he was dominated and dead to 3 outs, the board then makes 2 pair to counterfit mine and he splits pot to stay alive. He says alive like this 6 times until i finally get knocked out vs a dominated hand via runner runner flush. 217623216 30-Nov-09 21:24 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 217621422 30-Nov-09 21:21 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72. Me: A9 vs 72s. I'm in good. He hits a 2 to win. Prior to that, I have JJ in SB. I call button who had monster (KK). Prior: Me: KJs vs 34o. I'm in good. He flops the nut straight. 217622337 30-Nov-09 21:21 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72. Me: AT vs K3o. I'm in good. He flops a K to win. Prior: Me. 44 vs. K7o. I'm in good. He rivers a 7 to win. 217622004 30-Nov-09 21:18 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72. With insta-call odds, I call in BB with JT vs KQ and lose (legit beat). 217621875 30-Nov-09 21:16 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 217621837 30-Nov-09 21:13 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 217621903 30-Nov-09 21:13 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72. I shove with A6 from cutoff with level 1 blinds, and get called (badly) by 33. He makes a monster (full house) and I lose race. 217621408 30-Nov-09 21:11 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72. ME: KQs vs. J9s. I'm in good. I hit my Q. But he then makes 2 pair and I lose. Later, Blind vs. Blind, I ran into monster (KK). 217621786 30-Nov-09 21:10 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72. Me: A6 vs KJ. I'm in good. I make a straght. He makes a higher straight and I lose. 217620769 30-Nov-09 21:09 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72. Short-stacked, I call with T8 vs K4o. He wins. 217619839 30-Nov-09 21:06 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72. High blinds. Insta-call stacked in BB, I call. Me: J7 vs 55 (race). I lose. Prior: Me: KQ vs JJ. I flop Q. He is dead to 2 outs and hits one on the turn. I lose. 217613848 30-Nov-09 21:04 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72. [Hand history file cuts off here at hand 200.] 217618029 30-Nov-09 20:58 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 217618108 30-Nov-09 20:54 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 217618008 30-Nov-09 20:52 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 217617957 30-Nov-09 20:52 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 217617978 30-Nov-09 20:51 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 217617935 30-Nov-09 20:48 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 217616677 30-Nov-09 20:46 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 217617649 30-Nov-09 20:46 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 217616407 30-Nov-09 20:45 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 217615901 30-Nov-09 20:42 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 217615774 30-Nov-09 20:41 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 217615977 30-Nov-09 20:39 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 217615879 30-Nov-09 20:38 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 217615417 30-Nov-09 20:37 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 217615742 30-Nov-09 20:36 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 217615456 30-Nov-09 20:34 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 217614416 30-Nov-09 20:33 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 217589851 30-Nov-09 18:40 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 217513334 30-Nov-09 14:57 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 217513405 30-Nov-09 14:56 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 217507642 30-Nov-09 14:55 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 217513352 30-Nov-09 14:54 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 217515016 30-Nov-09 14:53 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 217503946 30-Nov-09 14:48 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 Pretty typical results.
  6. Stars. Go to the Sit&Go tab. Then go to the Satellite sub-tab. (if you dont see them, make sure your view filters are opened.)[
  7. I've proposed to Stars having a graduated rake structure for the hyper-turbo SNGs, just like is done for any other type of poker (SNGs, cash/ring, MTT). There are many reasons its done for those games that benefit both the site and the players, and they all apply to the hypers. So please join me in asking stars to change hyper rake. See below for specifics. New Suggested Rake (Buy-in: rake): 420: $4.00 212: $2.12 (or 2.00) 86: $1.25 54: $1.00 44: $0.80 Below 44: ~2% of buy-in (ex. 22: $0.44) Some reasons include: - Even numbers for buy-in amounts ($87.72 is a wierd amount). - Currently, as players have improved, even before rake there are now razor thin margins in hypers, with the margin decreasing with time. - Encourage climbing up the stakes ladder. Just like with cash games and tourneys, competition at higher levels is better and rake is more, but it is offset by a lower RATE of rake, so players are encouraged to put in increased cash volume. This benefits both players and Stars, and gives them a reason to move up the ladder. - Encourage non-regulars. Many players play to satellite into the bigger tourneys. An improved rake would further encourage this. - Highly skilled regulars now have incentive to play much more regularly, as a reasonable profit margin is once again attainable. Margins are now so small due to improved general play in hypers and the introduction of rake, that it is starting to make little sense to continue putting in volume at the hypers unless rake changes. Similarly, at the top levels, such as the $420+8.40, the level is play is so good that it makes little sense to play because it is nearly impossible to beat the rake long-term. A lower rake percentage would encourage players to move up and stay. - Publicity. Word would get around poker forums about improved rake, encouraging increased volume and participation. Lets write them en mass and try to do this.
  8. ... and it still continues. Lost 19 of 20 $87 hypers today vs soft competition. But let me break this down for today's hands by how the hands played out. (See the hand explanations in red below for each game). 212739917 15-Nov-09 02:28 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 Me: 66 vs A6o and another A6s. The dominated A6s flops nut flush. (Dominated hand [2 outer to split pot] makes monster.) 212740209 15-Nov-09 02:26 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 Me: AKs vs KTo. The dominated KT makes hits a KTT board for a boat. (Dominated hand makes monster) 212738516 15-Nov-09 02:17 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72. High blinds. Lost to Oppenent's rivered set of Qs. (legit. Set) 212738069 15-Nov-09 02:15 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 Me: A4 vs A2o. The dominated A2o flops A2x. (Dominated hand makes good - 3 outer) 212736215 15-Nov-09 01:57 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 Me: shove AKs, called by J2s. Board comes 22 to give him trips. (Garbage hand, behind, makes monster) (The two prior hands I played I was rivered and ran into a micro-stacks quads vs my BB insta-call with A3.) 212735040 15-Nov-09 01:50 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72. ME: Push KJs from button. SB has AJo. (Monster in blind) 212735131 15-Nov-09 01:45 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72. ME: push 88. AK calls and hits river K. (Monster in blind) 212734732 15-Nov-09 01:44 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72. ME: I push AK from button. BB has AA. (Monster in blind) 212734699 15-Nov-09 01:42 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 ME: shove A5 from button and run into AQ in BB. (Monster in blind) 212733735 15-Nov-09 01:34 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28. (WTF?!) 212733060 15-Nov-09 01:32 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 ME: shove AKs. AQo calls, dominated, and hits Q on river. (Dominated hand makes good - 3 outer) 212731861 15-Nov-09 01:23 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 Me. I call SB from BB with K2s due to stack sizes. He flops set. (legit. Set) 212731038 15-Nov-09 01:09 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72. I shove A5 from SB. BB wakes up with AQ. (Monster in blind) 212729857 15-Nov-09 01:01 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72. Me: Call with J5o vs 79o, due to blinds. He flops 2 pair and turns the full house. (Garbage hand, behind, makes monster) 212729752 15-Nov-09 00:56 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72. ME: I shove 97 from SB due to high blinds. BB wakes up with A6. (Monster in blind) 212728541 15-Nov-09 00:48 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72. Oppenent turns a 2-out set after I called with Ax and hit an A. (2 outer makes monster.) 212727809 15-Nov-09 00:46 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72. ME: I shove Jx from SB vs BB during high blinds. BB wakes up with PP and turns a set. (Monster in blind) 212726234 15-Nov-09 00:32 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 ME: shove A2 from SB. Called by 63s, who flops 6 to win. (Garbage hand, behind, makes good) 212726901 15-Nov-09 00:31 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 ME: high blinds, forced to shove Jx from SB. BB wakes up with A. (Monster in blind) 212725914 15-Nov-09 00:27 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72. I shove A2s from Button. BB calls with 79o and flops a 7. (Garbage hand, behind, makes good) 212318941 13-Nov-09 16:05 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 [Only did hand write up for Nov. 15 games, but all below are the same story.] 212318558 13-Nov-09 15:54 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 212315814 13-Nov-09 15:48 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 212307182 13-Nov-09 15:21 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 212305670 13-Nov-09 15:11 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 212302824 13-Nov-09 15:01 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 210508488 7-Nov-09 16:05 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 210504189 7-Nov-09 15:59 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 210502542 7-Nov-09 15:48 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 210502421 7-Nov-09 15:39 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 210499591 7-Nov-09 15:31 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 210500557 7-Nov-09 15:29 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 210497042 7-Nov-09 15:18 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 210493848 7-Nov-09 15:10 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 210492049 7-Nov-09 15:03 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 210493006 7-Nov-09 15:02 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 210241149 6-Nov-09 18:16 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 210018870 6-Nov-09 02:12 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 209716669 4-Nov-09 23:24 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 209717020 4-Nov-09 23:18 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 209715275 4-Nov-09 23:09 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 208153419 30-Oct-09 12:28 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 208151517 30-Oct-09 12:17 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208150208 30-Oct-09 12:17 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 208148776 30-Oct-09 12:15 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 208148797 30-Oct-09 12:07 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 208147172 30-Oct-09 12:07 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208147208 30-Oct-09 12:02 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208145792 30-Oct-09 12:00 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208146191 30-Oct-09 11:59 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 So for Nov 15, the final breakdown is: Lost when way ahead or ahead: 10 (Miracle, 3 out, 3 out, 3 out, 3 out, 2 out, etc) Monster in blind (usually with me already holding an A and correctly jamming in late pos): 7 (AJ, AA, AQ, AQ, PP, Ax) Outright beats: 2 (maybe 3)
  9. ... and the graph... pretty sudden change point there. Notice it is not subtle, like levelling out, but very dramatic slope change. The sudden cliff drop was from losing 16 of 17 ($25K) of the $1860 hypers, most again to bad beats, including having KK cracked all 3 times. The latest cliff dip occurred upon starting this thread and contacting stars about it. Note that the slope of the losses would be hard for even a total donkey to replicate for hypers. Mathematcially I would not even have such a steep downslope even if I played with my cards covered up and followed a super simple situational jam/fold chart that assumes you dont see your own cards! By converting chip stack amount numerals to color codes, a monkey could LITERALLY be trained to have a higer expectation than this slope. I am dead serious. Mathematically, over this span of 6000 SNGs, and given my expectation, it is statiscially extremely likely these results are due to active interference.
  10. Update: Below are my SNG results since posting this article (on 10/30) and contacting Stars: Before you see the results, please note that: - Around mid-year I was ranked second of all players on stars for 09 total profit ANY stakes for the turbo 5-6 seated SNGs on Sharkscope leaderboards. I had a player rating of 92. I understand how to play SNGs profitably. I have played over 11,000 SNGs. I have played $1840 hyper-turbo SNGS, $428 hypers regularly, etc. - This example is not an isolated incident. You will see a very clear point in my sharkscope graph where this began and has not stopped for several thousand games, and 1 for 36 runs like this have been the norm since that point. It is happening at all levels against all opponents. And the results are from non-stop bad beats (NOT from getting my money in at bad spots). - After I complete some HH parsing code, I will be posting the results of the hands let led to these results, and contrast it with expected results. So far, it is astonishing and over a sample of many thousand SNGs. 210516428 7-Nov-09 16:33 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 210516395 7-Nov-09 16:30 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 210512707 7-Nov-09 16:24 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 210513646 7-Nov-09 16:21 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 210512372 7-Nov-09 16:17 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 210511998 7-Nov-09 16:15 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 210511492 7-Nov-09 16:14 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 5/6 -$44.88 210508488 7-Nov-09 16:05 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 210504189 7-Nov-09 15:59 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 210502542 7-Nov-09 15:48 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 210502421 7-Nov-09 15:39 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 210499591 7-Nov-09 15:31 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 210500557 7-Nov-09 15:29 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 210497042 7-Nov-09 15:18 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 210493848 7-Nov-09 15:10 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 210492049 7-Nov-09 15:03 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 210493006 7-Nov-09 15:02 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 210296545 6-Nov-09 23:02 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 210296306 6-Nov-09 22:59 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 210296068 6-Nov-09 22:52 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 6/6 -$44.88 210295761 6-Nov-09 22:49 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 210295187 6-Nov-09 22:46 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 5/6 -$44.88 210294691 6-Nov-09 22:45 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 210295328 6-Nov-09 22:43 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 210245857 6-Nov-09 18:25 NL Holdem (Sat) $22 6/6 -$22.44 210246331 6-Nov-09 18:23 NL Holdem (Sat) $22 4/6 -$22.44 210245191 6-Nov-09 18:20 NL Holdem (Sat) $22 6/6 -$22.44 210245224 6-Nov-09 18:17 NL Holdem (Sat) $22 4/6 -$22.44 210241149 6-Nov-09 18:16 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 210018870 6-Nov-09 02:12 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 210001484 5-Nov-09 23:07 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 210001463 5-Nov-09 23:02 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 2/6 $64.12 210001447 5-Nov-09 23:00 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 6/6 -$44.88 210001380 5-Nov-09 23:00 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 5/6 -$44.88 210000521 5-Nov-09 22:59 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 6/6 -$44.88 210000132 5-Nov-09 22:51 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 6/6 -$44.88 210000106 5-Nov-09 22:51 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 210000173 5-Nov-09 22:48 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 209998980 5-Nov-09 22:46 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 6/6 -$44.88 209999583 5-Nov-09 22:45 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 209998965 5-Nov-09 22:41 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 5/6 -$44.88 209998928 5-Nov-09 22:41 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 209998916 5-Nov-09 22:38 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 209716669 4-Nov-09 23:24 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 209717020 4-Nov-09 23:18 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 209715275 4-Nov-09 23:09 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 209715692 4-Nov-09 23:06 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 6/6 -$44.88 209716009 4-Nov-09 23:04 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 209715505 4-Nov-09 23:02 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 209714565 4-Nov-09 22:59 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 209714533 4-Nov-09 22:56 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 1/6 $64.12 209714260 4-Nov-09 22:50 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 209713695 4-Nov-09 22:47 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 6/6 -$44.88 209713766 4-Nov-09 22:46 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 209714154 4-Nov-09 22:44 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 1/6 $64.12 209713058 4-Nov-09 22:42 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 209713677 4-Nov-09 22:40 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 209712301 4-Nov-09 22:35 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 1/6 $64.12 209712577 4-Nov-09 22:34 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 209712510 4-Nov-09 22:34 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 4/6 -$44.88 209711664 4-Nov-09 22:30 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 6/6 -$44.88 209710843 4-Nov-09 22:22 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 209710314 4-Nov-09 22:20 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 6/6 -$44.88 209711027 4-Nov-09 22:19 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 209710296 4-Nov-09 22:18 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 6/6 -$44.88 209710343 4-Nov-09 22:18 NL Holdem (Sat) $44 3/6 $1.12 208199298 30-Oct-09 15:54 NL Holdem $25 -/9 -$27 208200493 30-Oct-09 15:51 NL Holdem $15 3/9 $11 208153313 30-Oct-09 12:39 NL Holdem (Sat) $54 6/6 -$55.08 208152409 30-Oct-09 12:35 NL Holdem (Sat) $54 6/6 -$55.08 208152589 30-Oct-09 12:32 NL Holdem (Sat) $54 3/6 -$55.08 208149319 30-Oct-09 12:29 NL Holdem (Sat) $54 5/6 -$55.08 208153419 30-Oct-09 12:28 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 208151517 30-Oct-09 12:17 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208150208 30-Oct-09 12:17 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 208148776 30-Oct-09 12:15 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 208148797 30-Oct-09 12:07 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 208147172 30-Oct-09 12:07 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208147208 30-Oct-09 12:02 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208145792 30-Oct-09 12:00 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208146191 30-Oct-09 11:59 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 208142623 30-Oct-09 11:49 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 208142595 30-Oct-09 11:48 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208139744 30-Oct-09 11:42 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 208139804 30-Oct-09 11:40 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 208138589 30-Oct-09 11:31 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 208137917 30-Oct-09 11:26 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 208137185 30-Oct-09 11:23 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 208135282 30-Oct-09 11:18 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 208136249 30-Oct-09 11:17 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 208133398 30-Oct-09 11:14 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208134073 30-Oct-09 11:12 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208056538 30-Oct-09 04:09 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 208056412 30-Oct-09 04:07 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 208055132 30-Oct-09 03:58 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 208054948 30-Oct-09 03:57 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208054255 30-Oct-09 03:55 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208054237 30-Oct-09 03:52 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 208054165 30-Oct-09 03:47 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 208053767 30-Oct-09 03:45 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 208053124 30-Oct-09 03:39 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 208052437 30-Oct-09 03:39 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208051696 30-Oct-09 03:33 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 208052606 30-Oct-09 03:33 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208052045 30-Oct-09 03:30 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 208051715 30-Oct-09 03:29 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208052310 30-Oct-09 03:29 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208051647 30-Oct-09 03:24 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208046791 30-Oct-09 03:22 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 208051687 30-Oct-09 03:19 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208049841 30-Oct-09 03:14 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 208049825 30-Oct-09 03:11 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208049815 30-Oct-09 03:04 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 208049287 30-Oct-09 03:03 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208048439 30-Oct-09 02:56 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208049020 30-Oct-09 02:55 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208047784 30-Oct-09 02:47 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 208048041 30-Oct-09 02:44 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208047337 30-Oct-09 02:37 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 208047214 30-Oct-09 02:37 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208046685 30-Oct-09 02:31 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 208044478 30-Oct-09 02:09 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 208043043 30-Oct-09 02:01 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 208042958 30-Oct-09 01:57 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 208042200 30-Oct-09 01:49 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 5/6 -$87.72 208042187 30-Oct-09 01:48 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 208042163 30-Oct-09 01:41 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 208041174 30-Oct-09 01:36 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208040666 30-Oct-09 01:27 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 1/6 $127.28 208040131 30-Oct-09 01:25 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 4/6 -$87.72 208039795 30-Oct-09 01:18 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 6/6 -$87.72 208038186 30-Oct-09 01:08 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72 208032690 30-Oct-09 00:58 NL Holdem (Sat) $212 3/6 $0 208037109 30-Oct-09 00:52 NL Holdem (Sat) $86 3/6 -$1.72
  11. Since reporting this to Stars, I have lost my last 36 of 37 (and 46 of 50) hyper-turbos, the majority of which were to bad beats such as my set running into runner-runner gutshot straights, dominated hands, etc. While I know that losing 46 out of 50 hyper-turbos is possible and 50 in an of itself is not a worthy sample, this anicdote supports the larger picture I'm presenting. Through the first half of this year I was on multiple shark scope leader boards for total profit at the SNGs. So I'm not without some level of profitable skill here! But there is a clear and dramatic point where my results have free-fallen over many thousands of SNGs, and 1-for-37 runs such as the current one, comprised of many improbable beats in a row, have been common-place for some time now. When I wrote stars, they did take the time to personally respond which was appreciated. But, for some reason they chose to only look at hands from the past 45 days, a microscopic sample (and which still showed me underdealt top hands).
  12. Ive been playing for income for a little while, having left a corporate job. My question is about the "non-poker" aspects of doing this for a living. Mainly, if an anyone can share their experiences on things like where / how you get health insurance coverage? I'm sure others out there who have transitioned out of corporate jobs into poker have done some digging on this, and it would help me to hear what you've found. Any recommendations? Any sort of group plan available? Do professional players already have some kind of negotiated-rate group plan, available to members of some players organization? Surely mid-tier pros who grind the circuit have health care coverage. What does coverage run you per month, assuming you are young/healthy? Etc. Thanks.
  13. I agree. As I look to the ad banners (for online poker rooms, including Absolute) at the top of the page and to the left, its no surprise that this type of discussion is marginalized. There is a LOT of money flowing around in the industry. All of the large forums also make most of their money by ads from poker sites. We know for a fact that rigging occurred on at least 2 large sites (UB and AP). For anyone to suggest it is not possible again is very naive. We also know that it was concerned and intelligent PLAYERS (not the sites) who discovered it by anaylzing their hands mathematically and discussing it openly. Statistically, they found for example that the results virtually HAD to have been due to an oppenent who could see hole cards. And even in that case, had the cheater been mathematically smart enough or less greedy, he could have skimmed profits as a super-user for much longer without exposing himself. There is most definately conflicts of interests and lack of transparency in online poker. Like you say, it is ironic that this ultimately is a bad thing for the game. Transparency and regulation should be welcomed, as should OPEN discussions like this one. I am a profitable and skilled player. The last thing I want to see rigging of any kind in online poker. But I would much rather see A LOT of light shined their way than too little. I agree that boxing and baseball have had similar issues. I was not even suspicious of the amount of AA KK or AK i had received. My initial concern was the exact same as yours. It seemed to me like dominated hands won at least 50% of the time. I understand that statistically, I can lose 20-25 SNGs in a row with hands that are fairly big favorites, and that only analysis of the larger sample means much. So my intention was to look at the stats of similar scenarios that you described. AK vs Ax, etc. But since that took more effort, I just on a whim decided to look at something very easy to see, right there in my HH database: the number of premo PPs vs expectation. Again, since they occur so rarely it would be difficult to even notice without looking for it. I just looked on a whim because it was an easy thing to do... and sure enough: 98% get more AA than I do... fine, I said.... probably just bad luck. But then 98% get more KK than I do. Ok... so I run bad... really bad... still possible. Maybe I also get fewer 33? Nope. AA the least, KK second least. Hmmmm. Ok... so I'm sure it cant be the same for AK I said, but I checked.... 98% of players get more AK than I do. Its hard playing with my hands tied behind my back when virtually every single oppenent gets dealt more of the big three hands than I have, assuming no others see this. Definately not looking good. I'm still looking into the other scenarios such as AK vs Ax, but need more time to dig into the results of such specific hands. At any rate, it is sad that this gets put into the "bad beats" board, as it is obviously not even about beats. I didnt mention a single thing about beats or RNGs. But like I said, this can not be an unbias site by definition, since they get their funding from the very sites in question. Thanks for the feedback and intelligent discussion.
  14. To show you how far off you are (and statistics sometime seem counter-intuitive), I'll take the exact example you give here which you said would not be alarming: a 10% deviation over this sample size. So here are the inputs: 1/82 expected rate. 236317 sample size 2881 (expected AKs) - 288 (10% of expected) = 2593 occurances, which is 10% off the mean. Plug this into the equation (or calculator on the link) and you'll see that this case would not "easily" occur. The probability is a miniscule 0.000003% that this would occur naturally... not exactly as common-place as you initially thought. So mathematically speaking, the sample size is large enough to draw a strong conclusion from the deviation I am seeing. And once again, note that it is compounded by seeing this for ALL THREE of the top three hands.
  15. obv this is not a "bad beat" issue. This is a discussion grounded in statistical analysis of a large sample. Try to be open minded here and look at the hard numbers and facts, and lets have an open discussion of these issues.
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