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Proper Betting Etiquette
Check 5dimes again. Are you sure these are super sharp plays' Here's the current 5dimes middled lines on these, in bold: Mirotic under 18 points (even) +115 Holiday under 20.5 points (-125) +105 Antony Davis under 31 points (-115) +110 Jusuf Nurkic over 14 points (+110) -115 CJ McCollum over 21 (-125) -125 Davis under 12.5 rebounds (-105) -105 Aminu over 7.5 rebounds (-130) -120 Nurkic over 24.5 p+r (-120) -115 Holiday under 10.5 r+a (-115) -105 Mirotic under 3 threes made (-125) -115 McCollum under 2.5 threes made (-120) -130
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Pghfan987
Apr 17th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
I would still take it at that line (although it's probably a lot worse now).
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Pghfan987
Apr 17th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Jabari Parker under 11.5 points -115 Mike Moustakas under 2 HRR -115 Manny Machado under 2.5 HRR -130 Nick Castellanos under 2 HRR -105 Ian Desmond under 2 HRR -115 Yoenis Cespedes under 2 HRR -105 Michael Conforto under 2 HRR -115 Joey Gallo under 2 HRR -115 Carlos Gomez HRR > Joey Gallo HRR -115 Odubel Herrera under 2 HRR -125 Scott Schebler under 2 HRR EVEN Matt carpenter under 2 HRR EVEN Kris Bryant under 2.5 HRR -130 Javier Baez under 2 HRR -105 Avisail Garcia HRR > Jed Lowrie HRR EVEN Jean Segura HRR > Alex Bregman HRR EVEN
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Pghfan987
Apr 17th, 2018
Your Best Dish
chicken and sausage gumbo I don't remember when I learned how to make it, it was years ago. I think I just found a recipe online. When I first learned how to cook, I knew how to make 3 things for like a year, and gumbo was one of them.
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Pghfan987
Apr 17th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Still working through NBA, but wanted to share these before lines move. Monroe is particular is low-hanging fruit that won't be available near game time. Greg Monroe under 10.5 points -115 Greg Monroe under 18 pts+reb -115 E'Twaun Moore under 11.5 points -115
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Pghfan987
Apr 17th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Not too good, ~ -3 units yesterday. I wasn't going to post plays today, but I feel obligated to until I'm up. Capitals vs. Blue Jackets T.J. Oshie under 2.5 SOG EVEN Alexander Ovechkin under 5 SOG +110 Lars Eller under 2.5 SOG +120 Evgeny Kuzketsov under 4 SOG EVEN John Carlson under 2.5 SOG +130 Thomas Vanek under 2.5 SOG -115 Nick Foligno OVER 2 SOG +150 Jets vs. Wild Mark Scheifele under 2.5 SOG -115 Patrik Laine under 3.5 SOG EVEN DUstin Byfuglien under 3 SOG +120 Mathew Dumba under 2.5 SOG +110 Golden Knights vs. Kings William Karlsson under 2.5 SOG -130 James Neal under 3 SOG ...
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Pghfan987
Apr 17th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
For HRRs players must start for action. I usually post my bets before starting lineups are announced, so it's pretty common for some of my bets to be void when they don't start.
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Pghfan987
Apr 16th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
updated lines in bold Justise Winslow under 10 points -115 -145 Hassan Whiteside under 14 points -115 under 12 -150 Markelle Fultz under 7.5 points -105 same Marco Belinelli under 16.5 points -120 under 16 -130 J.J. Redick over 19 points -115 over 19.5 -115 Hassan Whiteside under 10.5 rebounds -115 under 10 rebounds -150 Robert Covington under 6 rebounds -115 -135 Hassan Whiteside under 24.5 pts+reb -115 under 20.5 -125 Markelle Fultz under 13.5 PAR -115 -120 Kelly Olynyk under 1.5 3PM +105 +110
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Pghfan987
Apr 16th, 2018
2018 NBA Playoffs Thread
Are you laying 6:1' I would take that bet.
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Pghfan987
Apr 16th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Last list of the day. I imagine MLB lines won't move much since I am not betting on there and it's pretty similar to NHL, where they've been capping pros very quickly, so the market isn't particularly sharp. So while the NBA lines I expect to move, NHL and MLB won't move as much on a day like today. Josh Bell HRR > Carlos Gonzalez HRR -115 Mike Moustakas under 2 HRR -115 Nick Markakis under 2 HRR -130 Carlos Santana HRR > Nick Markakis HRR -115 Ryan Braun under 2 HRR -115 Matt Davidson under 2 HRR -105 Jed Lowrie under 2 HRR -105 Avisail Garcia HRR > Jed Lowrie HRR EVEN Corey Seager under 2 ...
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Pghfan987
Apr 16th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Here are my NHL plays today. I do not expect these odds to move drastically because Bovada doesn't let pros stick around very long at all in the NHL market, so there isn't someone around to sharpen the lines. That could change if a lot of OTers took these. Bruins vs. Maple Leafs William Nylander under 2.5 SOG +100 Patrick Marleau under 2.5 SOG -115 Mitch Marner under 3 SOG -115 Tyler Bozak under 2.5 SOG -115 Auston Matthews under 3.5 SOG -110 Torey Krug under 3 SOG -105 Lightning vs. Devils Steven Stamkos under 3 SOG -115 Taylor Hall under 4 SOG -105 Patrick Maroon under 2.5 SOG +120 Nico ...
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Pghfan987
Apr 16th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
I reject your premise that if the odds moved 20 points and opened up a 10% ROI bet (which is a huge edge), that I would be just as likely to get the value side as I would the losing side.
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Pghfan987
Apr 16th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
You are failing to consider two things, that basically makes all of this moot. 1) The vast majority of the props I posted (I would guess between 80% and 90%) were props that I considered "coin flips". These were lines that I considered to be mostly accurate. So let's say the middled line on a game is LeBron James under 30 points EVEN. I think this line is accurate, so it's a "coin flip". I don't care what side I take. But what if the under (middled) moves to -120' At that point, I DEFINITELY want the over at +120, because it isn't close to a coin flip any more. 2) My goal was not to have an ...
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Pghfan987
Apr 16th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Here's the other game: LaMarcus Aldridge NO double-double -115* Patty Mills under 12 points -115 Rudy Gay over 13.5 points -115 LaMarcus Aldridge under 25.5 points -115 Klay Thompson under 22.5 points -115 Kevin Durant under 8.5 rebounds -115 Rudy Gay over 21.5 PAR -115 Patty Mills under 2.5 3PM -140 Manu Ginobili under 1.5 3PM -180 *This bet is interesting. Bovada has the Aldridge rebounds lines at under 9 -115. Aldridge has never had 10 assists, steals, or blocks in a game in his career. He has had a handful of games with single digit points (including 2 games this season). So while under ...
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Pghfan987
Apr 16th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Obviously Trues will tell you the difference is that some of my lines had already moved on Bovada when people were placing their bets, while you got the actual Bovada odds and the lines moved after. He will also throw in some insults. I wasn't Bovada. I based my lines on what I saw at Bovada at the time I posted (with a ~20 minute margin of error), and then the lines were locked in. Those were MY lines, and I was very clear about that. It doesn't matter what the Bovada odds moved to after I posted. If we REALLY wanted pristine market odds, we wouldn't use Bovada in the first place.
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Pghfan987
Apr 16th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Sorry to say anything publicly, I figured you just forgot, and it's not a big deal. Glad you're back and doing alright.
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Pghfan987
Apr 16th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Here are my plays on opening lines for the Heat-76ers game on Bovada. Justise Winslow under 10 points -115 Hassan Whiteside under 14 points -115 Markelle Fultz under 7.5 points -105 Marco Belinelli under 16.5 points -120 J.J. Redick over 19 points -115 Hassan Whiteside under 10.5 rebounds -115 Robert Covington under 6 rebounds -115 Hassan Whiteside under 24.5 pts+reb -115 Markelle Fultz under 13.5 PAR -115 Kelly Olynyk under 1.5 3PM +105 Ersan Ilyasova under 1.5 3PM +105 If I remember I'll post shortly before game time with the closing lines, just for funsies. Some plays I know will move, ...
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Pghfan987
Apr 16th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
And I knew shit might hit the fan because I cut you off. Lots of people in here said that was basically a dick move. I also knew that you knew that the lines were mostly moving in my favor, because you cherry picked the few that did not. The only way to defend myself was to reveal the truth that I am a .... .... sharp bettor (i know i know i suck)
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Pghfan987
Apr 14th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Seriously' You still don't get it' If I bet a large amount of plays on Bovada on a given day, then a huge portion of my plays would have moved at roughly the same time. But I did not always have a Bovada account active, because I was constantly getting capped. So some days the lines would move when I bet them, and other days they moved more gradually, as other bettors found similar value. So for days where I did not move any lines myself, the games that were on my list the longest had the greatest chance of having lines that had already moved. Me and you have the same level of arrogance, ...
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Pghfan987
Apr 14th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
As I have said many times before, sometimes I moved the lines, which means at other times other people moved the lines. This isn't hard to figure out. You're either too stubborn or too stupid to understand nuance.
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Pghfan987
Apr 14th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Jesus Christ. I did the research starting early in the morning, before Bovada lines even opened, then by the time I looked at Bovada lines it usually took me under 30 minutes to make my list. If it took longer than that, I made an effort to update all of the lines before posting by going back into each game, clicking refresh, and changing each line that moved. But usually, I finished the list within 30 minutes. STOP. BEING. STUPID.
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Pghfan987
Apr 14th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
I mean seriously, Trues just said that the late games were "90% accurate" while the early games were "100% inaccurate". So based on that, I think even Trues now admits that it's absolute complete bullshit that I was just lying about lines. (even though obviously I disagree about the quantity of plays that moved, I'm just pointing out that even he can't rationally make the argument that I lied about lines because it makes no sense to lie about 100% of the early games but 10% of the plays from the late games)
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Pghfan987
Apr 14th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Because the early baseball games lines were up to 30 minutes old, while the late games I did last' So the first game had 30 minutes to move by the time I was done with the last game. Stop being stupid.
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Pghfan987
Apr 14th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
I mean, points for creativity I guess. That is not what happened. I updated all the lines or none of them. Usually if any lines were stale for more than 20 or 30 minutes, I would update every line and then post.
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Pghfan987
Apr 14th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
I understand and respect that some people think locking in lines when they move in my favor after is "shady". Some others seem to think it's "good business". It's probably somewhere in between. But I never once intentionally lied about lines. That's a huge crock of bullshit.
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Pghfan987
Apr 14th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
It doesn't feel awkward being the only betting reg who has ever accused me of lying about lines in over a year' It doesn't feel weird that not a single person has publicly come out and said "I noticed his lines weren't accurate"' It doesn't feel weird that months ago, you thought me being able to identify value was bullshit, and now the side contest has proven you conclusively wrong' I wish we could access the Bovada history, because it would prove you wrong on these "lying about lines" accusations.
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Pghfan987
Apr 14th, 2018
MLB regular season thread
It actually pains me to see Cole pitch so well so fast. Because all he had to do is make some adjustments to approach, which took a couple of months, and now he is Max Scherzer. In his first start as an Astro, he had the most swings and misses of his career. His career high in Ks was 12, and he came out of the gate with 11, 11, 14. He is absolutely in the Kluber-Scherzer class now. All the advanced stats say this is not a fluke.
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Pghfan987
Apr 14th, 2018
MLB regular season thread
This article is a month old, and I don't know if it was already shared here, but this is one of the best baseball articles I've ever read. Compelling stuff about what makes Ichiro tick.
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Pghfan987
Apr 13th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
Anyone who responds in favor, please provide the name of at least one online sportsbook that has player props that you use, so I can check those lines.
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Pghfan987
Apr 13th, 2018
Proper Betting Etiquette
No interest' For the people who I won money off of, I'd like to win you guys some money back off of the books. PM me and I can get you plays.
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Pghfan987
Apr 13th, 2018