Happy Thursday everyone. Welcome to Week 4 of the college football season, where we will be looking at 15 new games for the early slate on DraftKings. We are starting to get away from the warm-up games against FCS opponents, with more teams facing conference foes. Vegas has all but three of the games for this slate under 62 total points, so we will focus on those three that are 72 and above. You’ll notice we’ve included both DraftKingsand FanDuel pricing.

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Bowling Green 1-2 @ Purdue 1-2 11:00 AM CT
Line: Bowling Green -2
O/U: 72

Bowling Green has the number two offense (609.3 yards/game) in the nation that gets most the production from its number one passing offense (455.7 yards/game). One would think the numbers must be skewed by playing weaker opponents, but they’ve respectfully played a schedule that includes an SEC team, a Big Ten opponent, and a tough American Athletic opponent in Memphis.

Meanwhile, Purdue allows 410 yards/game on defense while averaging three turnovers per game, and let’s not pretend the Boilermakers have been playing juggernauts. Purdue does average 419.7 yards in offense and will have opportunities against a Falcon defense that allows 495.3 yards/game.

Bowling Green QB Matt Johnson (9400 DK) (8600 FD) is the number one FPPG-getter on both DraftKingsand FanDuel at the QB position. He will also be getting a great matchup this week as the Falcons look to knock off their second Big Ten opponent of the year.

Bowling Green WR Roger Lewis (7700 DK) (7600 FD) is the nation’s leading receiver after a 7/261/3TD performance last week. He’s becoming a must play this season averaging over 52 FPPG the last two weeks. Don’t expect Purdue to slow him down either after allowing Va Tech’s Isaiah Ford to go off last week with 6 grabs for 128 yards.

Bowling Green WRs Ronnie Moore (5700 DK) (6600 FD) and Ryan Burbrink (4800 DK) (5400 FD) are two of the more consistent receivers behind Lewis, but they have yet to have that big game that make you want to fire them into a GPP lineup.

Purdue QB David Blough (6700 DK) (5300 FD) has been named the starter this week over Austin Appleby. I’m sure Purdue will want to run the ball as much as possible, but when the Falcons get out ahead, Blough will get his chance to shine against a defense that gives up a lot. I like a FanDuel lineup with him more because that is a really cheap price that will allow you to spend up at WR and RB.

Purdue RB Markell Jones (4400 DK) (4900 FD), is a consistent back (one rushing TD each game) at a cheap price on both sites. He is the backup to D.J. Knox, but the true freshman is earning almost equal carries and is averaging 2.7 more yards per carry.

Purdue WRs??? LOL, I really don’t know what to say. The more I read into this game, the more I’m shocked that Bowling Green isn’t favored more. I guess DeAngelo Yancey (4400 DK) (5300 FD) is the Boilermakers best receiver. If you’re looking for a punt and a reach from nowhere, check out Domonique Young (3000 DK) (4500 FD), a Juco transfer with a big frame who has started every game, but only has 2 receptions that were in the first game.

Rice 2-1 @ Baylor 2-0 2:00 PM CT
Line: Baylor -34.5
O/U: 75

Baylor is huge favorites in this one, but that doesn’t matter when Art Briles is your head coach. Baylor will do everything to move the ball and score points. Rice hasn’t been bad on offense, averaging 522.3 yards/game with a pretty balanced approach. The Baylor defense is on the field a lot and is allowing 26 points a game against SMU and FCS opponent Lamar, so expect Rice to put up some points as well.

Baylor QB Seth Russell (9700 DK) (9800 FD), starts it all for the Bears, averaging 11.22 yards/attempt and 4.5 TDs/game. He is a very aggressive QB, looking to score every time he drops back to pass.

Baylor WR Corey Coleman (8500 DK) (8200 FD), is the number one receiver for the Bears. He has yet to disappoint this year, with 5 TDs in only two games averaging an unheard of 32.7 yards/catch. It’s hard to play him because of his price, but it is hard to ignore his production.

Baylor WR Jay Lee (6000 DK) (6400 FD), has been the second most productive receiver this year for the Bears, actually leading the team in receptions with 12. The senior is capitalizing as a taller possession receiver compared to the other receivers.

Baylor RB Shock Linwood (7200 DK) (8500 FD) got back to his scoring ways last game versus Lamar with 3 TDs rushing (he had 16 in 2014) and 130 yards. I just wish he got more targets in the passing game to justify his price. Rice has also been tough against the run this year, I’ll probably fade the Baylor RB.

Rice QB Driphus Jackson (5600 DK) (7500 FD) will try to keep up this week after having a great performance last week against North Texas. I expect the Owls to be slinging it to keep up, which makes Jackson a viable QB2 on DraftKings.

Rice WR Dennis Parks (4800 DK) (4500 FD) has emerged as Jackson’s number one receiver after missing Week 1. He has back-to-back 8-catch performances including 2 TDs last week against the Mean Green. Baylor had an issue with Lamar’s Reggie Begelton and Parks is at the FanDuel minimum for WR.

TCU 3-0 @ Texas Tech 3-0 3:45 PM CT
Line: TCU -7
O/U: 80.5

Offense will again be the focus in this one. Both teams are averaging over 590 yards of total offense and over 49 points a game. Defense doesn’t appear to be in Tech’s vocabulary and TCU has seven starters on defense down with injury so far this year. After an 82-27 beat down at TCU last year, the Red Raiders are happy to be home where they’ve bested the Horned Frogs the last four times they’ve met in Lubbock.

TCU QB Trevone Boykin (10300 DK) (10300 FD), is almost unaffordable, especially on DraftKings. However, in the contest between these two last year, Boykin threw for 433 yards and 7 TDs! It’ll be hard to match those numbers, but in a conference shootout, a lot is possible.

TCU RB Aaron Green (7900 DK) (8300 FD) got back on track last week for 164 yards and 2 TDs on 21 carries. Also, Texas Tech has had its issues with stopping the run, but I think this price will be too high for me on the Horned Frogs RB.

TCU WR Josh Doctson (7500 DK) (8400 FD), is the main man at WR. The 6-4 senior has led the Frogs in receiving since he became eligible in 2013 after transferring from Wyoming. Look for the senior to have a big game this week.

TCU WR Kolby Listenbee (5000 DK) (6000 FD), the other senior receiver, has been hit or miss this year. He was more consistent last year, but among the other options who are much younger, I believe Boykin will look to the more experienced Listenbee for his second option.

Texas Tech QB Patrick Mahomes (8900 DK) (8700 FD), has looked great this year accounting for 13 TDs (9 passing and 4 rushing). If Tech has a shot in this one, Mahomes has a big game.

Texas Tech WR Jakeem Grant (7400 DK) (6900 FD) continues to be the receptions guy for the Red Raiders, but has only found the end zone twice, once receiving and one rushing. He also threw for a TD last week for 72 yards on a little trick play against Arkansas.

Other Players Worth Considering

Michigan State WR Aaron Burbridge (7400 DK) (6800 FD) is becoming the big threat for the Spartans after an 8 catch, 156 yard, 3 TD performance last week against Air Force. Central Michigan has been tough against the run this year, which should open up another big opportunity this week for Burbridge.

LSU RB Leonard Fournette (9700 DK) (8700 FD) has had two games against top 25 opponents and he scored 6 TDs against them. He is an NFL ready RB and it’s the Fournette show until someone can stop him. The only worry is perhaps Les Miles resting him once the Tigers get a healthy lead.

West Virginia QB Skyler Howard (6800 DK) (8700 FD) has looked good this year against bad competition. Maryland isn’t much better and has had issues with passing offenses. If you want a receiver with him, Shelton Gibson (4400 DK) (5300 FD) is averaging 35.2 yards/catch with a TD in each of his games this year.

East Carolina WR Isaiah Jones (5000 DK) (5900 FD) is averaging 10 receptions a game this year, including a 14 catch, 134 yard performance against a tough Florida defense. The Pirates are a pass-happy offense likely playing from behind so expect Jones to get a lot of targets in this one.

Washington RB Myles Gaskin (4500 DK) (6000 FD). In a battle of slow offense versus bad defense and good defense versus good offense, I’ll take the running back for the slow offense. The freshman Gaskin is taking over a majority of the carries and is worth a flyer in GPP lineups on Saturday against the Golden Bears.

This week will feature a few really good, high scoring, electric games. And then….meh. Finding the gems in the meh games will be big, as well as plugging in the right players from the high scoring games as always. Running good always helps too, so try and do that as well. See you all out there on the virtual gridiron.

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